Nassim Taleb on Instagram: "the problem isn’t with rare events, it’s with people who claim to price them. In domains ruled by fat tails, estimating probabilities is not knowledge but fiction. Tools like Value-at-Risk and mean-variance optimization don’t control danger; they hide it, then concentrate it until ruin arrives. Saying you understand the odds of an extreme event is how systems get fragile. The real measure of intelligence isn’t predicting the improbable, it’s designing your life and ca
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Nassim Taleb on Instagram: "the problem isn’t with rare events, it’s …
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